The Expansion of Ignorance is Inevitable


h1 Posted 8 months, 2 weeks ago in the wee hours by oso

In The Omnivore’s Dilema Michael Pollan reminds us that food is an inelastic good, which is to say that, obesity aside, there is a limit to how many calories a person can consume in a single day. Any more and we would explode.

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Once we all reach that caloric daily limit then the food industry can only grow at 1% (the average growth rate of the earth’s population). There is, after all, only so much food you can stuff down one person. The food industry got around this limitation by developing “foods” without any calories or fat – things like Coke Zero and potato chips made with Olean, which famously – so I’ve been told – causes anal leakage:

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[Hence the need for anal bleaching.]

Information is also an inelastic good. There is a limit to how much information the human brain can consume in a single day. Once we reach that limit we develop information obesity – or, information overload as it’s normally called – which leads to stress, guilt, and feelings of meaninglessness. We may ask ourselves what is the point of drinking a diet soda that our bodies do not need. And we might also ask ourselves, what is the use of consuming information at all, and how do we know if we need it or not?

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Information has always been a commodity. The greater the demand for information, and the more scarce that information is, the greater its value. The business model behind selling information has always been to function as a gatekeeper between the information and the access to that information. In relation to one another, information was scarce and demand was high.

That is, until all of the world’s information was made available in aggregate. Added to the “old media” are billions of contributions of information from sources that were previously excluded by the gatekeepers. Demand for information has stayed the same (after all, there is only so much the human brain can process per day) but the supply of information expands exponentially. (Kevin Kelly calls this phenomenon “the expansion of ignorance“.)

As information expands exponentially, the value of each individual piece of information declines exponentially. With the abundance of information comes the scarcity of attention. Value now lies not in information, but in its relevance: filtering, sorting, contextualizing that which “speaks to us”. Value is not in data but in eloquence.

There is, however, still one more gate between information and access to that information: language. If I were monolingual then I would only have access to a percentage of the world’s information available online. Let’s say, for example, that I wanted more information about Dao Lang, a Chinese pop star and the number one search term in China for 2005. Information about the singer in English is scant, but surely there are thousands of articles available in Chinese. If only I could request – and probably pay – someone to translate one of those articles into English.

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Conceptualizing a system to allow readers to request translations of content that interest them and to facilitate the process of that translation is the new job description for Marc Herman who is leading Global Voices’ translation exchange.

I am skeptical of the project, but it’s the type of skepticism that I hope is proven wrong. The most obvious question is, how do I know that I want to read something if I don’t know what it says? And, more importantly, why would I invest time and money requesting more information with less context when my hard drive is already brimming over with unread articles, unwatched movies, and un-listened-to podcasts?

To make such an investment I would need a pretty strong connection to Dao Lang, the Chinese pop singer. And if such a strong connection existed, wouldn’t that inspire me to learn Chinese, or to meet fellow Dao Lang fans who could provide me with the context I’m looking for?

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We consume information as much for our social needs as our need to be informed. In fact, I’m not sure you can even distinguish the two. We don’t really care about Mark Sanford and his affair, but we read about it because the collective awareness about the case allows us to participate in conversations about the values and issues that underlie it. When I was in Argentina 80% of the news I read was about Argentina and the region because it allowed me to engage in conversations with those around me. Now that I’m in The Hague I’m following related news. Our social interactions define the information we consume much more than the other way around.

Social translation is here to stay, but the key is that it is social. Lena translated my post about Cochabamba as a gesture of friendship. Once money is inserted into the equation it becomes something else.

A lot of communities and tools have sprung up in recent years trying to make the translation market more efficient by cutting out wasteful middleman agencies like Lionbridge. Among others are Social Translator, dotSUB, Worldwide Lexicon, and iCanLocalize. Some companies like Facebook and LinkedIn have flirted with crowdsourcing the localization of their websites, but the lesson tends to be that volunteer translators don’t feel very social toward for-profit companies. There will always be a demand for translated information, but those translations will still have to compete in a world of over-abundant information and starved attention.

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I’ve been thinking a lot about the supply and demand of information these days. A couple months ago I walked into El Ateneo, one of the world’s largest bookstores, to meet up with my buddy Scott. As I looked around at the mountains upon mountains of hardcovers, paperbacks, magazines, and newspapers I was hit by a kind of intellectual vertigo. On the one hand, here is humanity’s greatest accomplishment: culture, the ability to transmit knowledge, stories, and values from one generation to the next to eternity. On the other hand, with sadness and frustration I realized that in my life I would only come into contact with a small percentage of that culture. And that with each new year – and the exponential expansion of information – I would come into contact with a smaller and smaller percentage. The expansion of ignorance is inevitable.



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  1. 1Marc from Spain says:

    Thanks for the shout out. And thanks for the great dissection of the problem at hand. Pollan’s solution, sofar as I understand it, is to eat food, not plastic, whenever possible. I’d argue the same for news. A glance at any US supermarket aisle, or checkout magazine stand, suggests this isn’t as persuasive an argument as it might seem to be on its face. But in other countries, it’s easier to sell both vegetables and niche information. That’s part of my optimism. I’m not convinced information is created equal. We know people obsessed with Japanese pop culture put enormous effort into getting information about it, often ignoring, to the extent they can, language barriers.

    Which is my second reason for optimism. If you’re insanely interested in j-pop, you learn Japanese. Unless you don’t have to. Lowering information costs is a valuable service. I suspect some mid-size audiences know, or at least strongly suspect, that other markets exist than the supermarket.

    About El Ateneo: I had a deal to write a book about Indonesia. I had it because very few such books exist in English. So I went to Indonesia. I walked into QB Books, a big store in Jakarta, and saw there were about 20 books like the one I was contracted to write. No one had translated them. The reason so few books existed on US shelves about Indonesia wasn’t information overload, I’m convinced. It’s that a US editor with the power to commission work hadn’t been to QB books. If you look at US book publishing, the big international booms — UK commonwealth voices, the Indian authors, now Nigerian — are books editors could read in English. Give them the ability to read more broadly, they’ll buy more broadly. I hope. I’ll be mulling this post a good long while.

    I worry the Pringle Chip people admitted to anal leakage from weird food additives to avoid talking about colon cancer.

  2. 2Michael Smolens from United States says:

    Great commentary about language, knowledge, abundance, social translation, etc.

    The subject is important and finally getting some global attention.

    Keep up the good work.

    Michael

  3. 3Nicholas Laughlin from Trinidad and Tobago says:

    “The most obvious question is, how do I know that I want to read something if I don’t know what it says?”

    As a reader more or less confined to English, I come across things I want to but can’t read, not knowing exactly what they say, all the time. A practical and real-life example: I’m interested in the rather abstruse history of Guyana’s boundary disputes with Venezuela, Brazil, and Suriname. I’ve read a lot of material on this in English, but there’s masses more written in Spanish, Portuguese, and Dutch, much of which has not been translated. I can read very basic Spanish, and with the aid of a dictionary I might be able to get through some of the documents in that language. You could argue that I ought to try to become more fluent in Spanish, to make this material accessible. But realistically this won’t happen very soon, and that still leaves me unable to read documents in Portuguese and Dutch.

    Now, this probably isn’t the kind of information the GV translation exchange is aimed at. But if the project gets a few steps closer to some kind of human-powered universal translation engine, I for one will be pleased.

    “with sadness and frustration I realized that in my life I would only come into contact with a small percentage of that culture”

    Tras el cristal ya gris la noche cesa
    Y del alto de libros que una trunca
    Sombra dilata por la vaga mesa,
    Alguno habrá que no leermos nunca.

    Borges, “Limites”

    (Which I first read in a translation by Alastair Reid.)

  4. 4Mario Zamarripa from United States says:

    Great post man, I think the analogy is very appropriate. I agree with you on this: “With the abundance of information comes the scarcity of attention”…maybe that’s why Twitter’s model works so well…

  5. 5Zadi from United States says:

    Eloquently put. Speaks to everything I’ve (we’ve all) been struggling with and thinking about lately. …serious information fatigue. Too much info, not enough time to process and extract meaning. :/

  6. 6Miquel from United States says:

    Your tie-ins to anal bleaching never cease to amaze me.

  7. 7Melissa from Brazil says:

    This foodie and professional translator LOVED this take on the subject! Virtual howdy from São Paulo!

  8. 8swervecurve from United States says:

    On the lighter side, if I remember well, anal bleaching was featured in the first year of Oso’s blog… and here it is again.



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